0xb0BBd18d9BFBe7b0d063F9D880f4Fe6213D7d1e3-1762797301886
0xb0bbd18d9bfbe7b0d063f9d880f4fe6213d7d1e3
- Realised P&L
- $15.56
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $85.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? · Yes | 0.883 | 0.855 | $85.50 | −$2.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Down | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Down | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.54 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.06at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$7.28at 0.740Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
- +$6.74at 0.604Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$5.98at 0.773Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
- +$3.45at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 07:57 | LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? | SELL | 0.117 | $11.70 |
| 08-02 23:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $0.92 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $1.61 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 22:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $1.13 |
| 08-02 22:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8299998353 | $4.94 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9699997866 | $1.00 |