Matanra
0xb0b8edac43fdf61e439de21be84e7dd800ad1b2e
- Realised P&L
- $-111.58
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $64.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.090 | $30.75 | −$4.25 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.501 | 0.465 | $27.86 | −$2.14 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2? · No | 0.068 | 0.021 | $6.14 | −$13.86 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.352 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.70 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.43at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$52.50at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-51.34at 0.108Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:45 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2? | BUY | 0.0684462697 | $20.00 |
| 07-16 12:23 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5006662199 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 09:55 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3524999964 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 18:07 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3724999953 | $40.00 |
| 07-11 19:53 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5249999764 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 19:11 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1049999982 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 15:36 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999987 | $94.76 |
| 04-06 21:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 21:40 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1029999974 | $35.00 |
| 10-30 20:26 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0520000004 | $7.70 |
| 10-30 20:14 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0539999988 | $40.00 |
| 10-28 18:12 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0919999985 | $50.00 |