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0xb0b3a62406e90db7f577e0ed2c66af580d489a28
- Realised P&L
- $44.79
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $149.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.295 | $90.55 | +$22.64 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.145 | $58.60 | +$14.20 |
| Dota 2: Stray Team vs Gorgc Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs · Stray Team | 0.220 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$16.96 |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.20at 0.298Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs
- +$87.84at 0.371Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:32 | Dota 2: Stray Team vs Gorgc Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.2199999979 | $17.00 |
| 10-16 16:04 | Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $138.63 |
| 10-16 11:44 | Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.2882460454 | $40.00 |
| 10-14 22:03 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $139.86 |
| 10-14 15:24 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.36 | $50.40 |
| 09-21 00:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $17.91 |
| 09-21 00:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1096950474 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $24.40 |
| 09-18 20:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $50.00 |
| 12-06 00:55 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.2289999983 | $90.25 |