DinoKing
0xb0b14f26f77d8fda5e4a5496d8b78899929b3a0a
- Realised P&L
- $376.19
- Volume
- $32.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $12.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.170 | $8.50 | −$9.00 |
| Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.145 | $3.81 | −$3.02 |
| Will Trump sue the BBC? · No | 0.905 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$181.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.50at 0.334Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$68.50at 0.764Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
- +$68.44at 0.936Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
- +$58.21at 0.861Will Hyperliquid reach $60 in November?
- +$37.50at 0.350Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-23 13:44 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025? | BUY | 0.969 | $2.24 |
| 12-19 22:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 12-19 22:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 12-19 21:56 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 12-19 16:24 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $148.35 |
| 12-19 16:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.968 | $96.80 |
| 12-19 10:37 | Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | SELL | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 12-19 10:36 | Maduro out in 2025? | SELL | 0.041 | $4.18 |
| 12-19 10:34 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.994 | $419.47 |
| 12-17 23:26 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.063 | $6.43 |
| 12-17 23:25 | Maduro out in 2025? | SELL | 0.937 | $93.70 |
| 12-17 22:59 | Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $7.80 |
| 12-17 22:57 | Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $248.50 |
| 12-16 08:59 | Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $83.58 |
| 12-16 08:57 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.987 | $493.50 |