PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rui150514

0xb0acc1f81d8de6d2ab7cd6f5171f340bd822cfea

Realised P&L
$-654.10
Volume
$117.7k
Markets traded
361
Open portfolio
$112.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded361
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4? · Yes0.9661.000$112.93+$3.84
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$5.80
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No0.6850.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$3.85
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No0.8290.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 07:09Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?BUY0.9613538226$81.48
09-28 07:21Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.85$5.65
09-28 07:20Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.83$18.31
09-24 07:57Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.96$16.32
09-24 07:57Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.96$47.04
09-20 06:55Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-18 04:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-15 07:32Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15?BUY0.99$44.55
09-15 07:32Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?BUY0.99$74.22
09-11 07:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 11?BUY0.99$297.00
09-10 07:40Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 10?BUY0.99$251.29
09-08 08:09Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8?BUY0.93$27.90
09-08 07:40Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8?BUY0.91$9.10
09-08 07:33Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8?BUY0.98$4.90
09-08 07:29Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 8?BUY0.98$43.02