Sitdownandrelax
0xb09dfb36aa4718a3df7646251e0e047759af64c8
- Realised P&L
- $-45.3k
- Volume
- $5.06M
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.029 | $4.4k | −$5.7k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.035 | $137.07 | −$31.23 |
| Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.020 | $0.40 | +$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.172Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$562.50at 0.013Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$541.49at 0.007Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$540.39at 0.100Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$376.58at 0.021Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:12 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3 | $107.97 |
| 10-09 23:44 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.043 | $2.54 |
| 09-13 15:05 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.345 | $1.7k |
| 07-02 13:10 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 06-24 20:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.0k |
| 06-24 16:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0799943363 | $494.34 |
| 04-25 07:40 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $90.00 |
| 04-20 23:00 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.0k |
| 04-08 10:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 03-28 02:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $10.4k |
| 03-25 08:54 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.0k |
| 03-14 19:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.5k |
| 03-01 10:19 | Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0763649235 | $48.16 |
| 02-28 05:00 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.2k |
| 02-28 04:02 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1257592186 | $126.00 |