Funpay
0xb096041350a730330d362b01f36aef7c268ee8d7
- Realised P&L
- $-160.76
- Volume
- $23.8k
- Markets traded
- 588
- Open portfolio
- $19.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded588
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.76at 0.089Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$250.12at 0.133Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
- +$242.42at 0.155Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$204.75at 0.084Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$201.48at 0.139Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 20:53 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $36.00 |
| 06-01 18:46 | Will "Love" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1? | SELL | 0.776 | $9.70 |
| 05-29 21:12 | Will "Pope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.57 |
| 05-19 19:19 | Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing? | SELL | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 05-19 18:34 | Will the White House Press Secretary say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.79 |
| 04-25 16:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $10.02 |
| 04-21 09:11 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7165676407 | $106.88 |
| 04-15 08:29 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.207 | $9.53 |
| 04-12 20:57 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.63 |
| 04-09 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 11? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.54 |
| 04-02 13:34 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.141 | $2.68 |
| 03-27 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 03-27 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 03-27 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 03-26 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |