PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Funpay

0xb096041350a730330d362b01f36aef7c268ee8d7

Realised P&L
$-160.76
Volume
$23.8k
Markets traded
588
Open portfolio
$19.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded588
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 20:53Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?BUY0.3$36.00
06-01 18:46Will "Love" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?SELL0.776$9.70
05-29 21:12Will "Pope" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?SELL0.5$0.57
05-19 19:19Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL0.86$8.60
05-19 18:34Will the White House Press Secretary say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL0.98$9.79
04-25 16:23Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?BUY0.11$10.02
04-21 09:11Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.7165676407$106.88
04-15 08:29Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?BUY0.207$9.53
04-12 20:57Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?BUY0.08$3.63
04-09 18:32Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 11?BUY0.34$2.54
04-02 13:34Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?SELL0.141$2.68
03-27 06:41Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?SELL0.06$0.36
03-27 06:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?SELL0.11$0.55
03-27 06:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 28?SELL0.24$1.20
03-26 06:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?BUY0.19$1.14