PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

padizo

0xb085e4684f0d4f939832c7066a0da2473e4836a1

Realised P&L
$821.47
Volume
$108.1k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$114.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.1130.065$114.56$84.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$126.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$70.00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · 9z0.4290.000$0.00$190.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$60.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$76.63
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$20.00
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? · No0.7800.000$0.00$80.00
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$13.50
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$19.99
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$60.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$70.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$90.00
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 19:12Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.3299999967$50.00
06-18 17:49Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.4799999975$70.00
06-18 17:49Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.4799999975$70.00
06-16 21:11Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.066999999$58.63
06-13 15:23Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0839999958$18.00
06-13 15:23Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0970000002$60.00
06-08 15:35Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0069999997$20.00
06-08 15:35Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$20.00
06-08 15:34Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$20.00
06-08 15:34Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$70.00
06-08 15:34Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0539999995$90.00
06-08 15:31Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$50.00
06-05 13:47Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?SELL0.012$1.50
06-05 13:47Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?SELL0.009$0.11
06-05 13:47Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?SELL0.0419188578$5.93