PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

-BOB-

0xb084aff0a6f85f78c717428cb14ed4741ab5b64f

Realised P&L
$241.65
Volume
$9.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? · No0.7600.660$859.55−$130.45
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.6990.325$173.92−$200.25
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3120.235$150.81−$49.19
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Yes0.3920.390$139.21−$0.79
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4850.200$67.14−$95.66
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5230.335$64.03−$35.97
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3850.260$54.01−$25.99
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4430.285$51.46−$28.54
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.6560.525$41.63−$10.37
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · Yes0.4440.245$22.05−$17.95
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.135$18.90−$51.10
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.025$15.63−$84.38
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7700.245$9.55−$20.45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.042$8.28−$41.72
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.075$4.59−$25.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:32Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.6799999994$224.17
09-24 21:28Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026?BUY0.38510139$80.00
09-24 21:26Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5231940811$100.00
09-24 21:20Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3116441589$200.00
09-24 21:19Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.3571149575$100.00
09-24 21:12Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4430459243$80.00
09-02 19:25Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.484945013$162.80
09-02 19:25Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.52$40.00
09-02 19:24Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.4443577638$40.00
09-02 19:22Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?BUY0.6699999987$30.00
09-02 19:13Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.16$30.00
08-20 22:06Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.6557126462$52.00
08-20 12:58Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999874$30.00
08-20 12:57Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.489999998$30.00
08-20 12:39Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$70.00