-BOB-
0xb084aff0a6f85f78c717428cb14ed4741ab5b64f
- Realised P&L
- $241.65
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.76at 0.573Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$109.92at 0.645Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?
- +$104.45at 0.757Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
- +$88.70at 0.530Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
- +$87.57at 0.695Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:32 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.6799999994 | $224.17 |
| 09-24 21:28 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38510139 | $80.00 |
| 09-24 21:26 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5231940811 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 21:20 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3116441589 | $200.00 |
| 09-24 21:19 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.3571149575 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 21:12 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4430459243 | $80.00 |
| 09-02 19:25 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.484945013 | $162.80 |
| 09-02 19:25 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $40.00 |
| 09-02 19:24 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | BUY | 0.4443577638 | $40.00 |
| 09-02 19:22 | Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $30.00 |
| 09-02 19:13 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.00 |
| 08-20 22:06 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.6557126462 | $52.00 |
| 08-20 12:58 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999874 | $30.00 |
| 08-20 12:57 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.489999998 | $30.00 |
| 08-20 12:39 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $70.00 |