PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChoiceMeteor2520

0xb08223d6994cf79c10afc58653cbb8051ed55138

Realised P&L
$-8.0k
Volume
$2.55M
Markets traded
12,000
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,000
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? · No0.9690.977$195.30+$1.45
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7900.910$182.00+$24.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7030.895$179.00+$38.50
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8420.945$168.00+$18.22
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $1,0000.2380.360$108.02+$36.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? · No0.9580.961$96.05+$0.25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9350.919$92.81−$1.62
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.8730.966$82.07+$7.86
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? · No0.9400.976$81.33+$3.00
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · No0.9670.988$75.86+$1.61
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9330.969$73.64+$2.73
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9961.000$71.46+$0.27
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.9971.000$69.97+$0.17
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.9140.850$68.00−$5.14
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9220.964$64.60+$2.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:15Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.997$69.79
11-01 23:14Atlanta United FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 7.5BUY0.999$49.95
11-01 21:33Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5BUY0.999$49.95
11-01 21:33Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 7.5BUY0.999$49.95
11-01 20:07Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?SELL0.001$0.05
11-01 15:22Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?BUY0.993$59.29
11-01 15:14Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?BUY0.986$71.37
11-01 15:13Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?BUY0.989$149.11
11-01 02:15Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.995$139.30
11-01 02:15Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.988$14.82
11-01 02:12Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.98$49.00
11-01 02:11Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.988$39.52
11-01 01:05Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 115.5BUY0.999$54.95
11-01 01:05Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 115.5BUY0.999$44.95
11-01 00:52Cavaliers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 105.5BUY0.99$99.00