ChoiceMeteor2520
0xb08223d6994cf79c10afc58653cbb8051ed55138
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $2.28M
- Markets traded
- 9,230
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,230
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$372.83at 0.656Spread: New Zealand (-39.5)
- +$247.50at 0.492Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
- +$235.24at 0.655Mali vs. Spain
- +$191.12at 0.940Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 22?
- +$178.76at 0.744Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:13 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $8.18 |
| 09-17 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.89 | $31.15 |
| 09-17 04:45 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $36.26 |
| 09-16 22:07 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $7.71 |
| 09-16 21:54 | Ethereum above 2,450 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 21:54 | Ethereum above 2,380 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Ethereum above 2,420 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Ethereum above 2,430 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Ethereum above 2,440 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Bitcoin above 75,400 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Bitcoin above 76,400 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 21:52 | Bitcoin above 76,600 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 21:52 | Bitcoin above 76,800 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 21:52 | Bitcoin above 77,000 on September 16, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-16 19:18 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |