0xb0814b79f3404b4e46113f2c66d9b506546d8cc0
0xb0814b79f3404b4e46113f2c66d9b506546d8cc0
- Realised P&L
- $2.12
- Volume
- $507.22
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $26.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.250 | $12.30 | +$3.00 |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.555 | $5.22 | +$0.70 |
| Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.073 | $3.67 | +$0.28 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.655 | $3.28 | −$0.03 |
| Will Chris Godwin have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.455 | $2.34 | −$1.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.89at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$2.08at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$1.05at 0.812Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$0.58at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$0.35at 0.932Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $3.59 |
| 10-16 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8010554562 | $4.48 |
| 10-11 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $6.07 |
| 10-08 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 10:18 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.25 |
| 09-15 08:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999922 | $4.50 |
| 08-26 12:58 | Will Chris Godwin have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.6699998369 | $3.45 |
| 08-17 15:41 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9289999988 | $4.75 |
| 08-16 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5799998144 | $3.00 |
| 08-15 17:39 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |