0xb07E2aCDe1dE238bA676B9042d6759C59FDeE682-1777990592071
0xb07e2acde1de238ba676b9042d6759c59fdee682
- Realised P&L
- $448.94
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,301
- Open portfolio
- $126.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,301
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.54at 0.397Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?
- +$20.53at 0.563Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 14?
- +$19.02at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 28?
- +$18.30at 0.204Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15?
- +$18.13at 0.535Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.22 |
| 09-19 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 09-18 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.8416666667 | $5.05 |
| 09-18 23:45 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.60 |
| 09-18 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.60 |
| 09-18 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.04 |
| 09-18 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.28 |
| 09-18 20:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.11 |
| 09-18 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.04 |
| 09-18 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.86 |
| 09-18 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.22 |
| 09-18 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.86 |
| 09-18 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.18 |
| 09-17 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 09-17 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.97 |