0xb0713b4472ab67aa8b2a5013b93593368c102736
- Realised P&L
- $17.39
- Volume
- $337.92
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $12.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.530 | 0.885 | $3.34 | +$1.34 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.475 | $2.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.875 | $2.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.745 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.625 | $1.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.080 | $0.64 | −$1.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.045 | $0.38 | −$1.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.07at 0.402Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
- +$2.70at 0.432Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:53 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 10:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 02:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 18:02 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 02:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 18:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 04:51 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 17:00 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:44 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 00:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 15:11 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 11? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 17:59 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 20:13 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 12:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |