ririfi
0xb06a906a94e256ad755a832511beadfea0035b8d
- Realised P&L
- $-8.53
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $21.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.977 | $10.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? · No | 0.890 | 1.000 | $3.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out in 2025? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $3.21 | +$0.00 |
| Stacey Plaskett out as Virgin Islands delegate before 2026? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? · No | 0.830 | 1.000 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Aces vs. Fever · Aces | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will The Outer Worlds 2 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Zion leave the Pelicans before next season? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.08at 0.650Lynx vs. Mercury
- +$0.33at 0.750Ethereum Up or Down on June 30?
- +$0.28at 0.870Will Mahmoud Khalil be deported before July?
- +$0.09at 0.920Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?
- +$0.08at 0.920Will US leave NATO by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-20 08:15 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out in 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $503.99 |
| 11-19 12:52 | Stacey Plaskett out as Virgin Islands delegate before 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 11-19 12:52 | Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 11-19 12:51 | Will The Outer Worlds 2 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 11-19 12:50 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $507.70 |
| 09-27 09:58 | Will Zion leave the Pelicans before next season? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:57 | Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:56 | Lynx vs. Mercury | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 09:55 | Aces vs. Fever | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:55 | Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025? | SELL | 0.962 | $2.09 |
| 06-30 07:05 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 07:04 | Ethereum Up or Down on June 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 07:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 07:02 | Will Mahmoud Khalil be deported before July? | SELL | 0.992 | $2.27 |
| 06-30 07:02 | Will Ukraine join NATO before July? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.02 |