0xB06420fEC40CbdFC58465C7b84e007008cAbc8ee-1777630369005
0xb06420fec40cbdfc58465c7b84e007008cabc8ee
- Realised P&L
- $31.80
- Volume
- $538.93
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $7.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.160 | $2.29 | −$1.71 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.042 | $1.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $1.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.135 | $1.45 | −$1.55 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.064Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?
- +$9.00at 0.190Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?
- +$-0.05at 0.523Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-0.07at 0.512Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-3.08at 0.472Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 09:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.0458646989 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 09:23 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 09:18 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 09:18 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? | BUY | 0.3163305654 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 09:03 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 08:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 14:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 14:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 05-04 11:18 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5109997925 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 11:18 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 05-04 11:13 | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |