PolyBot

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Traders

0xb05d1f0d17e3321829560dfacc04488f8659dcdc

0xb05d1f0d17e3321829560dfacc04488f8659dcdc

Realised P&L
$-13.6k
Volume
$268.1k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$2.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$1.58−$15.72
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0550.001$0.49−$53.27
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$97.28
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00−$79.15
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will FC Zlín win on 2026-10-24? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$3.80
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$90.43
Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$42.15
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4010.000$0.00−$2.3k
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$2.3k
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$46.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 21:54Will CS Huancayo win on 2026-10-27?BUY0.001$0.76
10-25 21:53Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.16$2.00
10-25 21:50Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.02$2.00
10-25 20:08Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$6.15
10-24 14:28Will FC Zlín win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.0669999999$3.80
10-22 17:12Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?BUY0.2199999941$6.00
10-21 19:31Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
10-20 19:45Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.1799999999$50.00
10-20 19:44Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.045$60.81
09-29 22:34Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$9.99
09-29 22:33Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$50.00
09-29 22:05Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.037$50.00
09-14 14:51Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.007$43.07
07-22 07:38Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0612659574$23.04
07-22 07:36Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0054592141$17.30