0xb04895b46d744a55e399dd09A78CE8Ef215e7F07-1781456815311
0xb04895b46d744a55e399dd09a78ce8ef215e7f07
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $326.1k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.617Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$921.19at 0.467United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$852.32at 0.495Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
- +$793.14at 0.666Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$698.97at 0.300Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:44 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.239 | $3.82 |
| 09-14 21:10 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.2399916667 | $4.32 |
| 09-14 21:10 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.239 | $8.13 |
| 08-03 12:37 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.607 | $236.73 |
| 08-02 05:35 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.61 | $321.57 |
| 08-02 05:34 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.608 | $90.53 |
| 08-02 05:34 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.607 | $131.72 |
| 08-01 12:13 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.624 | $63.65 |
| 07-30 15:55 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.7651159176 | $650.35 |
| 07-28 12:45 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.746 | $234.99 |
| 07-16 17:17 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.498 | $149.40 |
| 07-16 17:06 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.874 | $137.22 |
| 07-16 17:01 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.764 | $382.00 |
| 07-16 17:01 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.763 | $22.89 |
| 07-16 16:56 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | BUY | 0.4 | $192.80 |