PolyBot

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Traders

ken2983

0xb04609ce1ce7c889fdf95ea5c62efeff245d3981

Realised P&L
$8.49
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$36.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.055$36.74$13.26
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026? · No0.0460.000$0.00$5.00
SHEIN IPO before 2027? · No0.2490.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 07:35Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0797945291$40.00
07-30 07:34Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.29$11.15
07-30 07:34Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?SELL0.41$11.71
07-15 23:35Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0459201744$5.00
07-15 23:33Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
07-15 23:30SHEIN IPO before 2027?BUY0.2489999661$5.00
07-15 23:27Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
07-15 22:05Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.752$31.33
07-15 21:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.1799999928$20.00
07-15 21:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSELL0.99$40.90
07-15 21:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.6799999946$20.00
07-15 21:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.4199999832$5.00
07-15 21:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00
07-15 21:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00
07-15 21:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00