0xb040f38b1bfa2ef225f968c6e19d58993f68dbea
0xb040f38b1bfa2ef225f968c6e19d58993f68dbea
- Realised P&L
- $-11.2k
- Volume
- $627.7k
- Markets traded
- 5,256
- Open portfolio
- $23.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,256
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.372Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$1.8kat 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$931.75at 0.524Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$843.60at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET
- +$832.82at 0.275Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $83.50 |
| 11-02 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $14.28 |
| 11-02 11:42 | Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $8.52 |
| 11-02 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3911894273 | $55.94 |
| 11-02 10:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.56 |
| 11-02 10:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999968 | $23.10 |
| 11-02 10:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $92.82 |
| 11-02 08:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $25.55 |
| 11-02 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $20.72 |
| 11-02 08:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4408988937 | $61.20 |
| 11-02 08:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2013803111 | $25.08 |
| 11-02 07:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 11-02 07:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 11-02 07:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $23.03 |
| 11-02 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2457439656 | $30.68 |