PolyBot

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Traders

0xb040f38b1bfa2ef225f968c6e19d58993f68dbea

0xb040f38b1bfa2ef225f968c6e19d58993f68dbea

Realised P&L
$-11.2k
Volume
$627.7k
Markets traded
5,256
Open portfolio
$23.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,256
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Sofia Kenin · Leylah Fernandez0.6450.680$18.78+$0.97
M15 Trois-Rivières: Matthew Michibata vs Lucas Hammond · Lucas Hammond0.6500.705$4.43+$0.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$44.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$47.29
Solana Up or Down - August 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.4220.000$0.00−$3.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7AM ET · Down0.1280.000$0.00−$23.50
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$3.40
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 10AM ET · Up0.8500.000$0.00−$100.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.7400.000$0.00−$23.10
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 2AM ET · Up0.9410.000$0.00−$100.00
ITF Muttenz: Juan Estevez vs Alex Bergomi · Alex Bergomi0.1450.000$0.00−$1.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.3490.000$0.00−$29.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$9.88
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 7PM ET · Up0.7330.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Up0.3930.000$0.00−$176.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.5$83.50
11-02 11:52Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.68$14.28
11-02 11:42Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.71$8.52
11-02 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.3911894273$55.94
11-02 10:29Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.06$1.56
11-02 10:28Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.7399999968$23.10
11-02 10:28Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.78$92.82
11-02 08:55Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.73$25.55
11-02 08:53Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.35$20.72
11-02 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.4408988937$61.20
11-02 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.2013803111$25.08
11-02 07:14Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.96$4.80
11-02 07:13Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.73$7.30
11-02 07:13Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.47$23.03
11-02 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.2457439656$30.68