PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb03c37dad498293cD4eFa5e37372B4889ABbCd31-1773556000499

0xb03c37dad498293cd4efa5e37372b4889abbcd31

Realised P&L
$-93.66
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$38.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1650.095$29.59−$21.93
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13? · Yes0.2630.265$9.01+$0.08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.4320.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3180.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.1480.000$0.00−$10.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$3.46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00−$2.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 06:10Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13?BUY0.22$1.10
10-13 05:40Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13?SELL0.19$1.52
10-13 04:40Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13?BUY0.27$9.99
07-19 21:22Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.317999792$1.00
07-11 23:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.07$1.10
06-14 06:02Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
06-13 23:03Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-13 22:11Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
06-13 22:10Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
06-13 02:55Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.18$4.87
05-09 23:21Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
05-09 23:20Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL0.019$0.70
05-09 23:20Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
05-09 23:20Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.04$1.14
05-09 23:19Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2299999603$4.00