wmart.pty
0xb03a569fdae54e65939b47c9927287c78b117dc8
- Realised P&L
- $412.17
- Volume
- $44.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.999 | $2.0k | +$10.29 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.975 | $341.25 | +$2.45 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.954 | 0.955 | $53.38 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.00at 0.940Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$113.47at 0.978Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?
- +$81.56at 0.959Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?
- +$46.40at 0.988Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?
- +$42.86at 0.979Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30? | BUY | 0.9933895617 | $2.0k |
| 10-30 01:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.9560133601 | $1.4k |
| 10-29 14:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.9880749576 | $3.0k |
| 10-29 13:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.9859938375 | $800.00 |
| 10-29 13:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.984 | $139.31 |
| 10-29 01:12 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.0k |
| 10-29 01:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.3k |
| 10-28 04:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | BUY | 0.9956725684 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 04:12 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.9934900936 | $1.0k |
| 10-28 04:11 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.9949151238 | $3.0k |
| 10-27 07:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27? | BUY | 0.965 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 07:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27? | BUY | 0.993 | $510.43 |
| 10-27 07:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | BUY | 0.9839999996 | $1000.00 |
| 10-26 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.9775142194 | $2.0k |
| 10-26 08:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.9979966332 | $3.0k |