0xb02f4b2b2a997dd69f24906b4b56d9c89240a423
- Realised P&L
- $1.29
- Volume
- $41.11
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $20.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No | 0.659 | 0.998 | $3.16 | +$1.07 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes | 0.680 | 1.000 | $3.07 | +$0.98 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.650 | 0.815 | $2.62 | +$0.53 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.730 | $2.24 | +$0.15 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.625 | $2.21 | +$0.12 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.465 | $2.21 | +$0.12 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.410 | $2.04 | −$0.05 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.240 | 0.175 | $1.52 | −$0.57 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.340 | $1.20 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.03at 0.510New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:10 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999236 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 03:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2399999219 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 19:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.679999987 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999153 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 02:31 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6589999776 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 08:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5899997488 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 23:27 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.6499999067 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 15:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.679999987 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 00:43 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |