PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb02f4b2b2a997dd69f24906b4b56d9c89240a423

Realised P&L
$1.29
Volume
$41.11
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$20.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.6590.998$3.16+$1.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6801.000$3.07+$0.98
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6500.815$2.62+$0.53
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6800.730$2.24+$0.15
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5900.625$2.21+$0.12
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4400.465$2.21+$0.12
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.4200.410$2.04$0.05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2400.175$1.52$0.57
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.5900.340$1.20$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:10Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4199999236$2.09
08-04 03:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.2399999219$2.09
08-03 19:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.679999987$2.09
08-03 10:31Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.5899999153$2.09
08-03 02:31Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.44$2.09
08-02 18:11Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6589999776$2.09
08-02 08:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5899997488$2.09
08-01 23:27Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.6499999067$2.09
08-01 15:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.679999987$2.09
08-01 00:43New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56