gentoolinux
0xb01bf4a57ba6ce5e8ff0ecbce6e01c5e451580cc
- Realised P&L
- $-72.30
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $6.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.29at 0.700Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$24.37at 0.254Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$5.04at 0.499Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.45at 0.290US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$3.14at 0.700Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 18:28 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 16:38 | Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.50 |
| 04-27 14:23 | California voter ID referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 09:01 | Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 04-25 18:24 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 15:10 | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.86 |
| 04-25 11:34 | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 07:24 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | SELL | 0.91 | $11.81 |
| 04-19 08:30 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | BUY | 0.7699999638 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 07:30 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $13.14 |
| 04-19 07:30 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.93 |
| 04-19 07:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.2 | $12.50 |
| 04-14 11:35 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | SELL | 0.08 | $8.78 |
| 04-14 11:34 | Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | SELL | 0.4373159366 | $9.38 |
| 04-13 23:12 | Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.4659554943 | $10.00 |