toddshelby
0xb004f0880a3a13a2eed4165d26033bc0747faebf
- Realised P&L
- $-16.47
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $11.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Maryland (-5.5) · Maryland | 0.520 | 0.490 | $11.37 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.680Wuhan Tennis Open: Clara Tauson vs Marie Bouzkova
- +$4.34at 0.690Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1?
- +$2.68at 0.280Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31?
- +$1.67at 0.650Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$1.27at 0.4532025 January hottest on record?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:12 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.99 |
| 01-31 13:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.73 |
| 01-30 14:50 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999732 | $10.41 |
| 01-30 14:29 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.9979998983 | $7.30 |
| 01-30 12:20 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.996 | $46.54 |
| 12-30 13:06 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.998999976 | $4.88 |
| 12-30 11:39 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999873 | $5.97 |
| 12-30 09:35 | Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.95 |
| 12-30 02:08 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.997999955 | $11.35 |
| 12-29 22:46 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $25.29 |
| 12-29 21:37 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.20 |
| 10-30 19:16 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.65 |
| 10-30 18:22 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.61 |
| 09-29 09:50 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.66 |
| 09-29 00:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.99 |