0xb0029d2c84742fdcba98f60ed90f5c52f524c776
- Realised P&L
- $-212.86
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $163.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.934 | $93.45 | +$3.45 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? · No | 0.840 | 1.000 | $55.65 | +$8.90 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.055 | $7.74 | +$1.36 |
| StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.013 | $6.25 | +$3.25 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.36 |
| Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.72 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.30at 0.070MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$8.48at 0.483Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.770Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.720Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$1.04at 0.480Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 13:11 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $99.64 |
| 06-24 13:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $22.96 |
| 04-14 15:17 | Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 04-14 08:46 | Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.26 | $44.72 |
| 04-14 08:46 | Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.40 |
| 04-14 08:45 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.00 |
| 04-14 08:40 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.36 |
| 03-06 22:45 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $12.00 |
| 03-06 07:16 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0297274885 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 13:57 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0481520133 | $2.75 |
| 03-05 06:57 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 19:33 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 18:56 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 02-28 06:45 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.470147472 | $48.00 |
| 02-28 06:37 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.4821285093 | $49.00 |