msn10t
0xb0029883065f40b3406de40e4b102195aee2bc16
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $55.1k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $568.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.48at 0.225US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$290.50at 0.240Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
- +$255.77at 0.106Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$108.21at 0.480Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$66.91at 0.107Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 19:12 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 09:55 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 09:54 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 09:54 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 15:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $366.98 |
| 07-14 15:48 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.218 | $141.56 |
| 07-12 17:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.186 | $174.00 |
| 07-02 04:20 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.081 | $62.94 |
| 05-08 09:40 | Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.938 | $391.22 |
| 03-24 08:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1068986755 | $100.00 |
| 03-24 08:50 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999991 | $100.00 |
| 03-24 08:50 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1286898564 | $100.00 |
| 03-24 08:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1539999988 | $100.00 |
| 03-14 12:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0301845104 | $50.00 |
| 03-14 12:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999968 | $50.00 |