PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

msn10t

0xb0029883065f40b3406de40e4b102195aee2bc16

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$55.1k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$568.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2000.305$152.50+$52.50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1300.029$109.62$390.38
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5300.555$104.72+$4.72
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2100.040$94.05$405.95
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$34.38$65.63
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0600.015$24.17$75.83
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1800.033$18.06$81.94
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1100.028$12.50$37.50
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0570.004$6.98$93.02
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2890.025$4.23$45.77
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0680.005$4.02$45.98
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1600.004$2.81$97.19
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2780.004$0.63$49.37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$50.00
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 19:12Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.1299999989$100.00
08-24 09:55Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.5299999983$100.00
08-24 09:54Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.2$100.00
08-24 09:54Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.0599999995$100.00
07-14 15:48Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.389$366.98
07-14 15:48Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.218$141.56
07-12 17:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.186$174.00
07-02 04:20Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.081$62.94
05-08 09:40Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?SELL0.938$391.22
03-24 08:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1068986755$100.00
03-24 08:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1059999991$100.00
03-24 08:50Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1286898564$100.00
03-24 08:50Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1539999988$100.00
03-14 12:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0301845104$50.00
03-14 12:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.3099999968$50.00