dadacxzcz
0xb001e05e3fcaa8d3a13d436d1820e27cad86c014
- Realised P&L
- $-287.10
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $164.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.045 | $164.99 | −$18.28 |
| No airdrop in 2025? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.19 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Down | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.36 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down | 0.574 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.39at 0.483Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$64.94at 0.198Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
- +$7.41at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$6.60at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$4.90at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 09:34 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0499863626 | $183.27 |
| 03-20 06:54 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $13.23 |
| 03-19 12:47 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $67.22 |
| 03-19 12:46 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4904798172 | $51.52 |
| 03-19 12:45 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1558913846 | $50.66 |
| 03-19 12:44 | Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4461756329 | $35.00 |
| 03-11 11:17 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 03-11 10:53 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.39 | $48.75 |
| 02-12 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999532 | $4.30 |
| 02-12 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999933 | $3.85 |
| 02-12 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $2.17 |
| 02-12 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6299998001 | $1.01 |
| 02-12 08:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.91 |
| 02-12 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6499998725 | $0.99 |
| 02-12 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $2.92 |