overwhelming
0xaff9effcbebb93f065f8df88e6072e8345e98e3c
- Realised P&L
- $-588.21
- Volume
- $230.1k
- Markets traded
- 11,136
- Open portfolio
- $516.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,136
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.71at 0.731Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 18?
- +$117.45at 0.762Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?
- +$72.76at 0.478Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 12?
- +$62.11at 0.783Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 17?
- +$57.53at 0.838Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.79 | $47.40 |
| 09-28 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.78 | $11.59 |
| 09-28 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.7 | $8.40 |
| 09-28 12:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.69 | $10.43 |
| 09-28 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.69 | $27.60 |
| 09-28 12:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.8 | $99.54 |
| 09-28 12:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-28 12:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.30 |
| 09-28 12:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-28 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 09-28 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9799991964 | $1.00 |