PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaff5b74dc110d929e0a2863ed95c9ad2606c14ba

Realised P&L
$-101.97
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
844
Open portfolio
$165.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded844
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration2.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:34Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.7199999424$5.00
09-18 01:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
09-18 00:05Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
09-18 00:04Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.75$5.00
09-18 00:04Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
09-17 23:37Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.7199999424$5.00
09-17 23:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.75$5.00
09-17 22:15Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.7128712758$5.00
09-17 20:20Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.8$5.00
09-17 16:23Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-17 16:11Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.7499999625$5.00
09-17 13:40Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-17 12:04Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-17 10:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.7199999424$5.00
09-17 06:30Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.7499999625$5.00