PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xAff1b5E12F494089BD956248046A12842EccB691-1790858343755

0xaff1b5e12f494089bd956248046a12842eccb691

Realised P&L
$-20.16
Volume
$526.29
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$206.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? · No0.2071.000$58.38+$46.30
Will Guinea win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.6321.000$45.52+$16.71
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? · No0.1800.175$33.08−$0.95
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.8200.825$30.18+$0.18
HB Køge vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4261.000$13.74+$7.88
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 44.5 · Under0.7000.705$12.95+$0.09
Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger · Mitchell Krueger0.4700.425$4.26−$0.45
Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-10-01? · No0.9200.994$4.17+$0.31
Spread: HB Køge (-1.5) · HB Køge0.5200.919$2.81+$1.22
Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Sijia Wei · Sijia Wei0.2300.235$1.13+$0.02
Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.1000.006$0.09−$1.36
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.7100.001$0.00−$4.98
HB Køge vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: Both Teams to Score · No0.5200.001$0.00−$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 18:03Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell KruegerBUY0.47$4.71
10-01 18:01Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8199999967$10.00
10-01 18:01Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8199999967$10.00
10-01 18:01Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8199999967$10.00
10-01 17:46Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.7299999228$2.08
10-01 17:19Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.18$8.60
10-01 17:19Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.18$4.96
10-01 17:19Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.18$9.00
10-01 17:19Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan SmithBUY0.35$9.46
10-01 17:19Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.18$2.46
10-01 17:19Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.7099999686$4.98
10-01 17:18Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.18$9.00
10-01 16:16Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan SmithBUY0.8299999736$3.77
10-01 16:16Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan SmithBUY0.82$9.76
10-01 16:16HB Køge vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: O/U 3.5BUY0.4499999557$2.54