0xAff1b5E12F494089BD956248046A12842EccB691-1790858343755
0xaff1b5e12f494089bd956248046a12842eccb691
- Realised P&L
- $-20.16
- Volume
- $526.29
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $206.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.207 | 1.000 | $58.38 | +$46.30 |
| Will Guinea win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.632 | 1.000 | $45.52 | +$16.71 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.180 | 0.175 | $33.08 | −$0.95 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.825 | $30.18 | +$0.18 |
| HB Køge vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.426 | 1.000 | $13.74 | +$7.88 |
| Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.700 | 0.705 | $12.95 | +$0.09 |
| Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger · Mitchell Krueger | 0.470 | 0.425 | $4.26 | −$0.45 |
| Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.920 | 0.994 | $4.17 | +$0.31 |
| Spread: HB Køge (-1.5) · HB Køge | 0.520 | 0.919 | $2.81 | +$1.22 |
| Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Sijia Wei · Sijia Wei | 0.230 | 0.235 | $1.13 | +$0.02 |
| Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.006 | $0.09 | −$1.36 |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$4.98 |
| HB Køge vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.520 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.71at 0.784Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith
- +$4.13at 0.902Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Andrea Guerrieri
- +$0.50at 0.959Porto 2: Tiago Pereira vs Hugo Grenier
- +$0.06at 0.979Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$-1.14at 0.333Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Chidekh vs Ugo Blanchet
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:03 | Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger | BUY | 0.47 | $4.71 |
| 10-01 18:01 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 18:01 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 18:01 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 17:46 | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.7299999228 | $2.08 |
| 10-01 17:19 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.18 | $8.60 |
| 10-01 17:19 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.96 |
| 10-01 17:19 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 10-01 17:19 | Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith | BUY | 0.35 | $9.46 |
| 10-01 17:19 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.46 |
| 10-01 17:19 | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.7099999686 | $4.98 |
| 10-01 17:18 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 10-01 16:16 | Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith | BUY | 0.8299999736 | $3.77 |
| 10-01 16:16 | Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Keegan Smith | BUY | 0.82 | $9.76 |
| 10-01 16:16 | HB Køge vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4499999557 | $2.54 |