zerobang
0xafed384b3b3197b73ddeaca366faca5fb510a9f1
- Realised P&L
- $-575.37
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $297.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.958 | 0.959 | $100.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.953 | 0.942 | $98.79 | −$1.21 |
| Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.950 | 0.932 | $98.20 | −$1.80 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? · No | 0.436 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$301.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.80at 0.482Will Wout van Aert finish in the top 3 at the 2026 Men's Tour de Flanders?
- +$53.18at 0.915Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$45.57at 0.689Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$35.00at 0.650Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?
- +$16.24at 0.667Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:50 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9529999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 13:50 | Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9584768097 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 13:45 | Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.949575636 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 15:45 | Will Felix Gall win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana? | BUY | 0.9580071849 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 05:42 | Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | SELL | 0.9033311742 | $97.62 |
| 07-24 15:52 | Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.925281066 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:45 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9024999975 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9199999989 | $268.00 |
| 07-14 17:40 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.377499998 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 15:07 | Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | SELL | 0.5343834015 | $91.43 |
| 07-05 16:22 | Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.5844477447 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 21:05 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 19:34 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.6824999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-15 19:37 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.64 |
| 04-13 10:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $31.38 |