0xaFDeEF54ed17Ac7D3d27228A2D82197fD7D48635-1768570944583
0xafdeef54ed17ac7d3d27228a2d82197fd7d48635
- Realised P&L
- $-29.29
- Volume
- $38.9k
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $3.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.50at 0.010Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 1?
- +$25.00at 0.080Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 7?
- +$16.90at 0.100Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 11?
- +$16.63at 0.050Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 15?
- +$13.64at 0.082Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 7? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.10 |
| 08-05 08:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.14 |
| 08-04 13:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.17 |
| 08-03 08:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on August 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 14:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31? | SELL | 0.9656914286 | $6.76 |
| 07-29 19:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $3.29 |
| 07-29 19:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 07-28 06:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 29? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.60 |
| 07-26 22:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.24 |
| 07-26 17:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 07-24 16:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 07-23 10:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.02 |
| 07-20 17:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 21? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.18 |
| 07-20 16:32 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 20? | BUY | 0.144 | $1.44 |
| 07-20 15:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 21? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.82 |