TheMafiaa
0xafd492974cd531aae7786210438ae46b42047e61
- Realised P&L
- $-36.6k
- Volume
- $19.23M
- Markets traded
- 2,414
- Open portfolio
- $15.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,414
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner · LYON | 0.830 | 1.000 | $10.2k | +$1.7k |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Movistar KOI | 0.590 | 1.000 | $5.0k | +$2.0k |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner · Shopify Rebellion | 0.280 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$1.4k |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner · Sentinels | 0.370 | 0.001 | $2.00 | −$1.5k |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.669 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.0kat 0.548LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner
- +$28.6kat 0.426LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
- +$27.0kat 0.460LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$26.4kat 0.624Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$23.4kat 0.460LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:36 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.998 | $3.2k |
| 08-02 16:12 | LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $12.2k |
| 08-02 16:12 | LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 13:19 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.67 | $6.8k |
| 08-02 13:10 | LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.58 | $5.9k |
| 08-02 12:28 | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $2.1k |
| 08-02 11:10 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $40.39 |
| 08-02 10:14 | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.69 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 10:14 | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.68 | $127.16 |
| 08-02 10:12 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $7.0k |
| 08-02 10:12 | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 08:08 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.33 | $3.4k |
| 08-01 22:09 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.21370405 | $427.41 |
| 08-01 20:57 | Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha | BUY | 0.57 | $122.50 |
| 08-01 19:01 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2199457608 | $243.31 |