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Traders

0xaF9eeC236FAEA7139DB10DC5CDdFFEB5D44911B3-1775257317863

0xaf9eec236faea7139db10dc5cddffeb5d44911b3

Realised P&L
$205.72
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
1,821
Open portfolio
$86.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,821
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3? · Yes0.7301.000$20.00+$5.40
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · Yes0.5400.640$12.80+$2.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5600.550$11.00$0.20
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.4700.500$10.00+$0.60
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? · No0.6800.495$9.90$3.70
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.6400.575$8.10$0.92
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.4000.400$8.00+$0.00
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · No0.3550.360$3.60+$0.05
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.3300.425$2.13+$0.47
Will Teach You a Lesson be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · Yes0.2200.044$0.89$3.51
Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? · Yes0.2430.314$0.83+$0.19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? · No0.1200.001$0.00$0.14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00$3.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00$3.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00$3.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 20:11Solana Up or Down - August 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.52$2.60
08-04 20:06Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.4$2.05
08-04 20:01Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.6099999839$3.40
08-04 20:01Solana Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.579999985$3.10
08-04 19:06XRP Up or Down - August 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.39$1.95
08-04 19:06Solana Up or Down - August 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.629999937$3.20
08-04 15:27Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.41$2.05
08-04 15:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.7$3.50
08-04 15:26Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.34$1.70
08-04 15:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.36$1.80
08-04 15:24Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.79$7.90
08-04 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.7$3.50
08-04 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.66$3.30
08-04 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.3899999559$2.30
08-04 15:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.61$3.05
Trader 0xaF9eeC236FAEA7139DB10DC5CDdFFEB5D44911B3-1775257317863 · PolyBot