PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaf9cf85ff02b609963F8f23304455087435DebDb-1780938826553

0xaf9cf85ff02b609963f8f23304455087435debdb

Realised P&L
$-23.16
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$62.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.3700.695$37.57+$17.57
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1100.135$12.27+$2.27
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.225$9.37+$4.37
Will Aston Villa qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.4000.255$3.19−$1.81
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2220.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$3.00
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$3.00
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 12:03Will Aston Villa qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.4$5.00
08-18 12:01Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.151$2.07
08-18 11:52Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.039$1.90
07-21 14:03Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-21 14:02Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.040999981$2.00
07-21 13:50Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.3699999887$20.00
07-21 13:48Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
07-20 07:53Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3649999573$5.00
07-19 21:19Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5SELL0.999$14.27
07-19 18:19Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsBUY0.32$1.91
07-19 18:16Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5BUY0.3499999615$5.00
07-19 18:14Spread: Spain (-1.5)BUY0.1974999737$5.00
07-14 21:11Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0836255098$5.00
07-14 21:08Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
07-14 21:07England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5BUY0.3399999633$5.00