PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xaF99ff640c2D58C090A393C795B881e373A20D4D-1770995309368

0xaf99ff640c2d58c090a393c795b881e373a20d4d

Realised P&L
$69.28
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$94.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes0.1500.127$89.39−$16.61
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.021$4.13−$7.75
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · No0.1000.021$1.02−$3.98
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump attend UFC 327? · No0.0640.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$5.00
Netanyahu out by April 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 18:45US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.1003996085$5.00
10-26 12:01Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0209999999$2.88
10-26 10:12Viktor Orbán arrested by...?BUY0.1499999999$106.00
04-23 11:56Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999872$9.00
04-21 20:22Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?SELL0.011$0.65
04-21 15:31Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?BUY0.0846921156$5.00
04-11 11:55Will Trump attend UFC 327?BUY0.0641673987$2.00
04-11 11:52Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY0.002$2.00
04-08 08:31US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.003$0.17
04-07 23:11US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
04-07 23:09US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.149999976$5.00
04-07 22:49US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.6664012937$81.39
04-07 22:43US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?SELL0.75$22.06
04-07 22:07US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.399$5.19
04-06 12:17US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.1699999759$5.00