laphamsgfh
0xaf968eb21c4c0da233b6693f3983eadfd2641c79
- Realised P&L
- $150.98
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $129.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) · AC Sparta Praha | 0.350 | 1.000 | $65.97 | +$42.87 |
| Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs · Sinners | 0.530 | 1.000 | $64.00 | +$30.08 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.49 |
| Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.80at 0.500Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$44.05at 0.266LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
- +$36.33at 0.351UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$20.33at 0.500Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$13.74at 0.795Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:50 | Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) | BUY | 0.35 | $23.10 |
| 09-07 08:08 | Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.53 | $33.92 |
| 08-13 11:31 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $39.96 |
| 08-13 11:31 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.64 |
| 08-13 11:28 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 07-29 05:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $40.84 |
| 07-29 05:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.12 |
| 07-29 05:55 | UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.34 | $19.04 |
| 07-22 06:36 | Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 07-03 07:36 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $26.97 |
| 07-03 07:36 | Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.79 | $52.93 |
| 07-03 07:35 | Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $27.00 |
| 06-23 09:50 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.74 | $16.49 |
| 06-06 05:42 | UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.63 | $16.63 |
| 05-29 02:36 | UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.44 | $26.14 |