ddrtrt
0xaf92553fac7f40daf29b1115472c1035c0285e5b
- Realised P&L
- $-608.33
- Volume
- $32.9k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $725.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? · $1,000 | 0.408 | 0.325 | $722.99 | −$185.60 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.028 | $2.75 | −$1.65 |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July? · No | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.80 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.77at 0.670Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
- +$-15.10at 0.517Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$-19.01at 0.670Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
- +$-19.22at 0.460Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
- +$-23.75at 0.232Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 14:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | SELL | 0.14 | $33.11 |
| 08-11 14:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.22 | $52.03 |
| 08-11 14:55 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | SELL | 0.0681519745 | $49.41 |
| 07-13 18:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | SELL | 0.54 | $69.65 |
| 07-13 18:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.28 | $16.80 |
| 07-13 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 07:31 | Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | SELL | 0.495726288 | $210.05 |
| 07-12 13:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 07-12 13:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | SELL | 0.12 | $28.32 |
| 07-05 22:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | SELL | 0.2 | $68.21 |
| 07-05 01:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.2599999982 | $88.67 |
| 07-04 15:02 | Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.40 |
| 07-04 09:48 | Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 00:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | SELL | 0.016 | $12.08 |
| 06-30 00:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.1130817246 | $165.48 |