0xaf90382c8b18336d7eecf81f00a1afac3268318a
0xaf90382c8b18336d7eecf81f00a1afac3268318a
- Realised P&L
- $-15.92
- Volume
- $506.42
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $4.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 4? · No | 0.980 | 0.928 | $4.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 18? · No | 0.961 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 21? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9AM ET
- +$0.20at 0.963Solana Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET
- +$0.14at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 26?
- +$0.11at 0.979BNB Up or Down - September 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$0.09at 0.982XRP Up or Down on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:15 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 16:00 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.15 |
| 10-02 12:45 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on October 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 12:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.96 | $5.05 |
| 10-02 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 04:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 3? | SELL | 0.961 | $5.05 |
| 10-01 17:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 17:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 2? | SELL | 0.966 | $5.08 |
| 09-30 16:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 12:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.692 | $3.64 |
| 09-30 12:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | SELL | 0.9809505703 | $5.16 |
| 09-30 12:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 11:24 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.9816335878 | $5.14 |
| 09-30 10:30 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9527022946 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |