0xaf8d788115e64331199ac026b8adb476c83b9495
- Realised P&L
- $-362.16
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-30.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.005 | $1.75 | −$127.24 |
| Will Mason Miller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.439 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$96.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.42at 0.739Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5
- +$56.97at 0.727Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5
- +$30.15at 0.727Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5
- +$-252.28at 0.647Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 14:44 | Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9834568715 | $108.74 |
| 04-22 14:42 | Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9666775378 | $36.21 |
| 04-22 14:42 | Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $72.47 |
| 04-22 14:42 | Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9617211976 | $72.39 |
| 04-22 14:40 | Will Mason Miller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.4392867732 | $96.75 |
| 04-22 14:40 | Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.4044751021 | $128.99 |
| 04-22 12:06 | Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.94906935 | $52.37 |
| 04-21 11:17 | Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $49.05 |
| 04-21 10:19 | Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7780856311 | $102.66 |
| 04-20 23:23 | Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $99.19 |