agid
0xaf8c982ccbc6d65eeab64a3ad84032c1bab6d77a
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $122.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar33.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.988 | $121.64 | +$101.64 |
| Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.015 | $1.17 | −$24.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.288Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 08:50 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%? | BUY | 0.3190012179 | $25.81 |
| 10-25 08:50 | Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? | BUY | 0.1623686719 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 08:30 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2883400837 | $500.00 |