PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bonjourneedahug

0xaf8365c3b86c871cd1e6f28ae388b45087cd2852

Realised P&L
$5.68
Volume
$46.55
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$11.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Arizona vs. West Virginia · Arizona0.6100.600$2.94−$0.05
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli · Flavio Cobolli0.6500.635$2.92−$0.07
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty · Atlanta Dream0.4300.445$1.03+$0.03
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin · Francisco Cerundolo0.5000.515$1.03+$0.03
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz · Novak Djokovic0.6300.645$1.02+$0.02
Minnesota vs. Purdue · Minnesota0.5500.545$0.99−$0.01
UConn vs. Temple · Temple0.6300.620$0.98−$0.02
Giants vs. Commanders · Giants0.3800.365$0.96−$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 20:34Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio CobolliBUY0.65$2.99
10-08 20:33Arizona vs. West VirginiaBUY0.6099999633$2.99
10-08 15:32Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert HurkaczBUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-08 11:36Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman SafiullinBUY0.5$1.00
10-08 06:43Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin RoyerBUY0.559999776$1.00
10-08 06:36Giants vs. CommandersBUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-08 06:35Minnesota vs. PurdueBUY0.549999945$1.00
10-08 06:35Atlanta Dream vs. New York LibertyBUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-08 05:58UConn vs. TempleBUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-08 01:34Oilers vs. DucksSELL0.45$1.00
10-07 11:38Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-07 11:37Suns vs. BullsBUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-07 11:35Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?SELL0.29$0.60
10-07 06:35Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-07 06:34Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.5799999768$1.00