Seanduoxi
0xaf8349d7f029809675da8fa28e1527c19d7b3dac
- Realised P&L
- $-971.63
- Volume
- $72.2k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $17.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.024 | $15.05 | −$39.95 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.080 | $2.76 | −$7.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.06at 0.255Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
- +$172.74at 0.215No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
- +$101.07at 0.850Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
- +$77.50at 0.210Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
- +$56.79at 0.290Will the US add less than 100,000 jobs in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 07:20 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.0421490119 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 16:04 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.098339653 | $50.00 |
| 01-16 08:03 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31? | SELL | 0.8644068394 | $49.04 |
| 01-09 03:20 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 01-08 17:15 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by January 31? | BUY | 0.3348885323 | $19.00 |
| 10-23 16:38 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.8799998592 | $4.00 |
| 12-07 17:40 | MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | BUY | 0.1099999889 | $8.50 |
| 12-07 17:39 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | SELL | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 12-05 08:05 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.709999992 | $18.62 |
| 12-05 08:02 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.7099999887 | $58.23 |
| 12-05 08:01 | $POPCAT listed on Binance or Coinbase in 2024? | SELL | 0.54 | $18.62 |
| 12-05 08:00 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SELL | 0.61 | $16.94 |
| 12-05 08:00 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SELL | 0.023 | $4.60 |
| 12-05 08:00 | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SELL | 0.06 | $5.81 |
| 12-05 07:59 | Will Biden finish his term? | SELL | 0.06 | $18.00 |