PolyBot

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Traders

0xaf83240a5ba94d6cebcd7f20d15cde3c54758a57

0xaf83240a5ba94d6cebcd7f20d15cde3c54758a57

Realised P&L
$5.04
Volume
$169.82
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$8.87

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.6400.930$1.45+$0.45
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.6700.960$1.43+$0.43
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7300.880$1.21+$0.21
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.865$1.17+$0.17
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13? · Up0.3500.400$1.14+$0.14
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4300.430$1.00+$0.00
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.6500.455$0.70−$0.30
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.7200.425$0.59−$0.41
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No0.3900.070$0.18−$0.82
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes0.4200.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 02:41S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-12 18:38Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-12 10:30Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-12 02:30Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-11 18:26Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-11 10:12Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-11 01:06Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-10 11:50Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-09 03:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 19:20Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 09:57Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-08 00:38Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-07 16:35Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-07 04:21WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-07 04:16Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00