PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xAF7894F619bAAe36B20ff2193492b954DF76c915-1730495239276

0xaf7894f619baae36b20ff2193492b954df76c915

Realised P&L
$-581.38
Volume
$42.8k
Markets traded
793
Open portfolio
$115.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded793
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 13? · No0.5200.715$14.45+$3.94
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13? · No0.5100.755$9.52+$3.09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 13? · No0.5900.705$6.89+$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13? · No0.6300.685$6.85+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 13? · No0.6500.635$6.72−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14? · No0.6500.625$6.64−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14? · No0.6400.605$5.86−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13? · No0.6500.760$4.67+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 13? · No0.6500.845$4.33+$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13? · No0.5100.935$4.25+$1.93
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 14? · No0.5600.650$3.97+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 14? · No0.5300.595$3.84+$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14? · No0.5500.605$3.76+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14? · No0.5800.630$3.72+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13? · No0.5900.650$3.67+$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 06:40Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 13?SELL0.998$3.61
10-13 05:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?BUY0.64$6.20
10-13 03:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 14?BUY0.65$6.91
10-13 01:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 13?BUY0.65$6.88
10-13 00:40Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 14?BUY0.65$3.42
10-13 00:40Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14?BUY0.61$3.04
10-13 00:40Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.65$3.42
10-13 00:40Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14?BUY0.58$3.42
10-13 00:40Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 14?BUY0.6$3.42
10-13 00:40Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 14?BUY0.56$3.42
10-13 00:40Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14?BUY0.55$3.42
10-13 00:40Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 14?BUY0.53$3.42
10-13 00:10Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 13?BUY0.52$10.51
10-12 21:40Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 13?SELL0.999$4.08
10-12 12:10Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?BUY0.63$3.15