0xaf7795df1c0af1a8294f74c0e2f4f0104615b61f
0xaf7795df1c0af1a8294f74c0e2f4f0104615b61f
- Realised P&L
- $5.14
- Volume
- $108.98
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $49.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.509 | 0.500 | $49.05 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.78at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down on September 26?
- +$2.36at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5094903017 | $49.98 |
| 09-26 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-25 01:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 26? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |