PolyBot

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Traders

exocide

0xaf755bcddcc7d35ee5e5b0f15c77ec760804c4fe

Realised P&L
$152.46
Volume
$17.6k
Markets traded
283
Open portfolio
$39.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded283
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22? · Yes0.2050.635$31.34+$21.24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22? · Yes0.0160.180$4.25+$3.87
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22? · Yes0.2100.195$3.25−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on October 21? · Yes0.0030.001$0.16−$0.84
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 21? · Yes0.0500.004$0.13−$1.29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 21? · Yes0.2970.002$0.03−$5.92
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 22? · Yes0.0590.002$0.03−$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 1? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 14? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$4.25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 29? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$3.72
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 5? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$3.08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 25? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$3.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 06:08Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22?SELL0.194$1.94
10-22 04:45Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-22 04:05Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 22?BUY0.0589999984$1.00
10-21 23:27Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on October 21?BUY0.0031229311$1.00
10-21 23:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?SELL0.899$26.94
10-21 23:23Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?SELL0.9373804545$20.62
10-21 23:20Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 20?SELL0.001$0.02
10-21 13:49Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-21 13:49Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?BUY0.22$1.10
10-21 13:45Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?BUY0.22$2.20
10-21 13:17Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?BUY0.2$2.00
10-21 13:16Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?BUY0.2$2.00
10-21 13:16Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22?BUY0.02$0.40
10-21 13:15Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22?BUY0.013$0.31
10-21 09:40Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?BUY0.18$1.80