exocide
0xaf755bcddcc7d35ee5e5b0f15c77ec760804c4fe
- Realised P&L
- $152.46
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 283
- Open portfolio
- $39.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded283
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.87at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?
- +$43.18at 0.335Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 28?
- +$35.96at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 22?
- +$34.94at 0.262Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?
- +$32.12at 0.129Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.194 | $1.94 |
| 10-22 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on October 21? | BUY | 0.0031229311 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.899 | $26.94 |
| 10-21 23:23 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.9373804545 | $20.62 |
| 10-21 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-21 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-21 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-21 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 10-21 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.31 |
| 10-21 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |