0xaf7092cccc3464b461b0616f3b46180fc08c62ba
0xaf7092cccc3464b461b0616f3b46180fc08c62ba
- Realised P&L
- $-17.51
- Volume
- $176.14
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.760 | $2.87 | +$1.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.49at 0.744Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
- +$1.83at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.522Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$1.69at 0.440Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$1.36at 0.602Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:27 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $192.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999151 | $1.81 |
| 07-28 06:35 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.80 |
| 07-28 05:44 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-25 00:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.53 |
| 07-24 02:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.755 | $4.60 |
| 07-24 02:09 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $9.86 |
| 07-24 02:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.52 |
| 07-24 00:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2629999153 | $1.62 |
| 07-23 12:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7579999813 | $4.62 |
| 07-23 00:37 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999845 | $10.08 |
| 07-22 12:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999345 | $1.71 |
| 07-22 00:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.28 |
| 07-21 12:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899999867 | $10.12 |
| 07-21 00:34 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 12:34 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | BUY | 0.7339999925 | $9.99 |