95sky
0xaf64c5b0dba1d1d3256f9a8fa1a89ae2ac33177a
- Realised P&L
- $26.55
- Volume
- $29.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $364.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 18? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.870 | $364.63 | +$155.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.77at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 18?
- +$6.03at 0.906Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?
- +$-0.01at 0.999Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.01at 0.994Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 13:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 18? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.59 |
| 08-25 07:03 | Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $63.57 |
| 08-25 06:57 | Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.79 |
| 08-25 06:48 | Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $43.38 |
| 08-25 06:40 | Trump out as President by August 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $34.06 |
| 08-25 06:34 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.9969999642 | $9.60 |
| 08-25 06:25 | Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.26 |
| 08-25 06:08 | Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.48 |
| 08-25 06:00 | Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.30 |
| 08-25 05:54 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.9969999658 | $24.50 |
| 08-22 14:38 | Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.998 | $80.22 |
| 08-22 14:29 | Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.30 |
| 08-22 14:22 | Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.987 | $32.61 |
| 08-22 14:12 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $12.71 |
| 08-22 14:04 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $15.26 |