Haoo
0xaf636e9b8a7ede0e0d19a24e5a77414d0c7b0a8c
- Realised P&L
- $-450.15
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $20.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.290 | 0.970 | $20.06 | +$14.06 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.381 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.70 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Down | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$262.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.25at 0.610Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$52.04at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$51.00at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$2.65at 0.430North Korea missile test by March 31?
- +$0.10at 0.919Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 08:37 | Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999681 | $6.00 |
| 11-22 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $50.00 |
| 11-22 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 11-22 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 11-22 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 11-22 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 11-22 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $50.00 |
| 11-22 13:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 11-22 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 11-22 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4893882637 | $40.00 |
| 11-22 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 11-22 13:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 05:43 | Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? | SELL | 0.5061767035 | $421.95 |
| 07-05 05:43 | Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August? | SELL | 0.63 | $221.04 |
| 07-05 05:43 | Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August? | SELL | 0.64 | $320.00 |